Sunday, April 19, 2020

The COVId-19 war - simplified




Strategies for war and tactics for battle largely depend on two main factors.

1.    Capabilities of the enemy
2.    Resources available

The aim of a war as always is to come out victorious – to be able to call the shots when the hostilities end.

The enemy

The enemy is invisible and in great numbers – potentially outnumbering the human population by millions of times. It is another matter that the enemy was not tackled when he first joined battle in a City in China – the jury is out to decide whether it was by design or by default. But today the enemy has infiltrated all over the world, within months. It, potentially, exists everywhere near you. The characteristics of this “enemy” is same all over the world.

Own resources

Resources including force levels will vary among countries with one country as the basic larger fighting unit. The most potent resource that every nation has to fight the disease is its population – for effectiveness of this “weapon” the younger the populayion the better!!! To that extent India has an edge. So what should be the strategy / tactics

1.   Strategies (at National level)

a.   Prepare for the worst and hope for the best.
b.   Slowdown the spread (lckdown) – flatten the curve so that the available medical resources are not overwhelmed (like it happened in New York)
c.    Explore all avenues to shore up medical care (PPEs, gloves. medical masks, trained medical personnel, basic medicines et al.)
d.   Employ all available resources to find a cure
e.   Employ all available resources to find a vaccine
f.    Disseminate information and statics honestly
g.   Continue with possible economic activities

2.   Tactics (at State level)

a.   Employ available test kits and methods optimally to detect infected cases
b.    Detect, isolate / quarantine and trace contacts
c.    Ensure essential services during lockdown
d.    Ensure essential supplies during lockdown – especially to the underprivileged
e.    Keep up the morale of the population
f.     Disseminate information and statistics honestly
g.    Continue possible economic activities

3.   General points

a.   Remember: While “GOD” is good for the soul science is the saviour of the body. Virus attacks the body and not the soul
b.    Harping on artificial differences (religion, politics) strengthens the enemy (virus) and weakens you (the soldier)
c.    It is not a war to be fought with weapons – it is a battle to be joined with compassion, love and understanding
d.    Always wear a mask in public – NOT to protect you but to protect others from the virus, in case you have it and you do not know…THE MOST POTENT WEAPON to protect others and hence the spread
e.    Practice social distancing to protect yourself…and others too

4.   The Bottom Line: DO NOT PANIC

Friday, April 17, 2020

This and That – 201



Media:

The media in India have a valid point in saying that the PM is not addressing the press; instead second rung bureaucrats are interacting with the press on matters of “National” importance. We can have differing views on the merits of such an interaction.

A prime point is the interaction with the Political heads in democracies is couterproductive, where the media is thought to be prejudiced and is working on their respective agenda. We can’t for sure say that there is no truth in the matter of partisan media!!! Also, the press, I notice is always intent on “cornering” the leaders with uncomfortable questions (in the name of freedom of press) just for sensationalism…merits and demerits of this process can be debated.

I am presently stuck in NJ across the Hudson from NY. I follow live the daily briefing of the media in the White House. I have learnt that there is more news / knowledge from what the team, bureaucrats, talks about the situation than does POTUS. With POTUS and the press it is always a tussle – from the questions posed, one can decipher the corner it is coming from - the Blue (Democrats) or the Red (GOP); unfortunately for most part there is no worthwhile outcome from these conversations.

Ditto, India?

Robots ruling the world:

Robots will never replace humans except for repetitive jobs like in the assembly lines. But AI and automation can lead to something more dreadful – humns will be converted to robots!!! Sample this….

Yuval Noah Harari, the author – historian says, “Facebook tells you what is new, Google tells you what is true, Netflix tells you what to watch, Amazon (and Alibaba) tells you what to buy… Algorithms decide whether you get a loan, are eligible for an employment” and so on…He continues to say that Artificial Intelligence and Biotech will hack you because AI will know more about you than you do.


Watch out for more sophisticated apps which will more and more control human behaviour!!!